Andry Rajoelina gives up

Andry Rajoelina finally made his decision: He will not be candidate for the presidential elections scheduled on May 08th, 2013.

Well I bet most of you already knew it. That was the buzz of yesterday evening. He made an official live TV statement yesterday at 08.00pm Mdg time from the presidential palace in Ambotsirohitra. After several months of suspense, he finally showed up his cards…


His decision closed all the political bets that started with the Ravalomanana’s declaration not to run for presidency (the so basic and common talk about: neither Ravalomanana nor Rajoelina, either Ravalomanana or Rajoelina, Ravalomanana and Rajoelina, …).

International community (IC)

It is sure that the IC has played a key role on Rajoelina’s decision. Despite all the theoritical speeches over Malagasy sovereignty, Madagascar, especially on its current situation, can not afford  (yet) to get rid off IC. I am not an anti-nationalist but I am sincerely tired of all these so empty political speeches which try to call up for national pride … Remember, this is what Andry Rajoelina did when he wanted to rally all Antananarivo people against Ravalomanana: Daewoo, South African mercenaries, … The IC’s stand has always been clear: they follow SADC’s resolutions which wanted both leaders to sit on the sidelines for 2013.

Can we really trust Andry Rajoelina?

Are we really sure at 100% that he will sit and admire the landscape? Even if he made an official declaration to the nation, to all Malagasy people, what guarantee do we have that he will keep his words? It is not the first time that he denied his own signature and he knows very well that it is easy to do so just by claiming national interest. I don’t really feel confortable when discovering that he(Andry Rajoelina) already agreed not to be candidate for the presidential elections on … January 10th, 2013. Why did he fancy all this suspense though he already gave his words? Maybe he wanted to insist on a … magical last minute support from a powerful country … Will he do a last minute about-face? This is the $ 1,000 question.